Let’s have a look at our mostly very accurate Elliott Wave Theory analysis of the US Dollar Index (USDX, DX #F) during H2 2016 (and parts of January 2017), which we analyze 1-2 times per week for our subscribers. Trading the US Dollar Index can be done through futures on the ICE, or ETF’s.
Let’s have a look at how our analysis of the USD/JPY pair during H2 2016 turned out. The whole purpose of our service is to find low-risk, high-probability trading opportunities in the financial markets, indices, currency pair and commodities that we follow on a regular basis.
Since July 2016, the US Treasury yields (i.e. interest rates) have been steadily climbing, with the trend gaining considerable short-term strength after the election of Donald J. Trump as the 45th US President.
While the immediate market reaction is ascribed to several factors, including market participants expecting a pickup in inflation, as well as increased profits for banks (due to a presumed steepening of the yield curve), these factors are only part of the explanation.
The latest liqudiation wave started in the evening of November the 8th (US timezones), when it started to become clear that Donald Trump was winning the Electoral Vote.
This week, let’s take a look at the Gold/USD from an Elliott Wave Theory analysis perspective. Last week, Gold/USD bounced from an important trendline. That trendline might turn out to be a 2-4 trendline, as it would be called in Elliott Wave Theory parlance.