Tag Archives: Obama

10-Year US Treasury future

Is the 35-year long downtrend in interest rates over?

Since July 2016, the US Treasury yields (i.e. interest rates) have been steadily climbing, with the trend gaining considerable short-term strength after the election of Donald J. Trump as the 45th US President.

While the immediate market reaction is ascribed to several factors, including market participants expecting a pickup in inflation, as well as increased profits for banks (due to a presumed steepening of the yield curve), these factors are only part of the explanation.

The latest liqudiation wave started in the evening of November the 8th (US timezones), when it started to become clear that Donald Trump was winning the Electoral Vote.

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