Will you get out of the stock markets before everyone else, this time?
The tremendous rise in the global stock markets over the last 9 years, has largely come about due to financial engineering, such as the ‘Quantitative Easing’ (QE) programmes undertaken by Western and Asian central banks, and suspension of Mark-to-Market rules for Western banks.
Continue reading This time it’s different
It’s time for last week’s blog post (it was intended for last week but got delayed until today), in which we’ll take a look at the results of our technical analyses on the 10-Year US Treasury Notes, between November 2016 and early July 2017.
Continue reading Technical Analysis on the 10-Year US Treasuries from 2016-11 to 2017-07
Let’s have a look at our mostly very accurate Elliott Wave Theory analysis of the US Dollar Index (USDX, DX #F) during H2 2016 (and parts of January 2017), which we analyze 1-2 times per week for our subscribers. Trading the US Dollar Index can be done through futures on the ICE, or ETF’s.
Continue reading Track record: US Dollar Index (USDX) H2 2016
Since July 2016, the US Treasury yields (i.e. interest rates) have been steadily climbing, with the trend gaining considerable short-term strength after the election of Donald J. Trump as the 45th US President.
While the immediate market reaction is ascribed to several factors, including market participants expecting a pickup in inflation, as well as increased profits for banks (due to a presumed steepening of the yield curve), these factors are only part of the explanation.
The latest liqudiation wave started in the evening of November the 8th (US timezones), when it started to become clear that Donald Trump was winning the Electoral Vote.
Continue reading Is the 35-year long downtrend in interest rates over?