In a year where Wall Street analyst consensus was squarely defeated by the -6.24% decline in the S&P 500, and most stock markets around the world ended the year with negative returns, most analysts and even hedge funds were wrong about the market and suffered losses. The blue chip index here in Sweden, the OMXS30, ended the year at a staggering -10.67%.
These days, the financial sections of newspapers and online publications are jampacked with articles about Turkey. Everyone wants to sound off like they know what’s going on. But did these pundits predict the current crisis? In the vast majority of cases – no, they didn’t.
But I did predict the current crisis instead of just talking about it now that it is front-and-center, and in this article, we’ll go through my July 2016 analyses and predictions for Turkey and the Turkish economy.
Any theory which claims to be even somewhat predictive regarding the financial markets comes under fire from parts of the investment community. This is not at all strange, and is in fact beneficial for the users of any criticized theory as long as that theory does in fact offer an edge of some kind.
In any discussion of the credibility and validity of the Elliott Wave Theory – we get to hear about how 1) “EWT doesn’t work”, 2) “isn’t built on a sound basis and/or premises”, 3) “EWT is just a story” or “curve fitting”.
Most analysts like to talk a big game, but they aren’t actually profitable traders themselves – but rather marketers of things such as analyses, expensive trading programs, expensive online courses, and similar.
In this article, I take a look at my recent analysis performance and trading results, including the recent-most mini-crash. Most other analysts like to tell you about things after they happened, but our analysis service attempts to tell you beforehand what is most likely to occur in the financial markets – and while we’re not perfect, we’re very good and hard-working.
The time is now golden (yes, very funny, we know…) for a summary of our composite technical analyses of Gold for the time period 2017-01 to 2017-09.
This follows on our previously established very successful chain of Gold/USD analyses – our previous analysis summary for Gold/USD was published in March 2017. There’s some overlap in this summary.
In this analysis summary, we examine our Elliott Wave analysis for the S&P 500 between late March 2017 and mid-August 2017. This summary starts off where the last one ended. The idea is of course, to demonstrate the continuous flow of analysis updates offered through our Elliott Wave subscription service.
One of the few financial markets we didn’t do particularly well with thus far during 2017, is the French stock market index CAC 40.
As part of our technical analysis process, we try to develop long-term models for the financial markets – where possible.
Often, long-term forecasts and Elliott Wave models are not possible to arrive at in any meaningful way, because of the fact that financial markets frequently develop bifurcation points in the wave structure, which sometimes create situations with very low predictability.
At other times, the markets present structures which allow long-term Elliott Wave models to be developed and presented.
In this technical analysis summary, we’ll have a look at our Elliott Wave analysis work for the NASDAQ Composite index, between mid-February and mid-July 2017.
This update is a summary of our composite technical analyses for the German DAX 30 stock market index, between January of 2017 and early August of 2017.